Galuzin Links Trade Bloc Stability, Transport Corridors, And Military Presence in Armenia Debate

| News, Politics, Armenia

On June 29, Mikhail Galuzin, Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister, stated that by December experts are expected to assess the economic and legal implications of a possible suspension of Armenia’s participation in the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). Galuzin addressed the legal uncertainty surrounding any suspension mechanism, noting that the EAEU Treaty does not provide for the expulsion or forced suspension of member states unless they voluntarily withdraw. He referred to a recent joint statement by the leaders of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan, which, according to him, highlighted risks to the economic security of the bloc linked to Armenia’s ongoing EU accession process. Galuzin said that the four leaders had instructed the preparation of a report on the possible consequences of suspending Armenia’s participation in the EAEU, adding: "let us await the results of the professionals' work."

The Russian Deputy Foreign Minister argued that it is "unacceptable" for Armenia to formalize its EU aspirations while continuing to benefit from EAEU membership advantages. He emphasized that Armenia has legally initiated the EU accession process, which in his view leaves no room for alternative interpretations. Galuzin also stressed that the forthcoming report would examine both legal and economic dimensions, while declining to speculate on possible outcomes, stating he would not "preempt the content of the report."

Commenting on regional connectivity projects, Galuzin also spoke about the "Trump route," intended to unblock transport links in the South Caucasus. He said the initiative faces political and geopolitical challenges, adding that Russian participation would increase its viability. He recalled that discussions on restoring regional rail links had previously taken place in a trilateral working group involving Russia, Armenia, and Azerbaijan in 2022–2023, but were later interrupted. According to him, continuation became difficult after Armenia allegedly committed 49% of the future railway’s capital to the American side. He further argued that Iran and China may view the project with reservations in light of broader geopolitical concerns, while insisting that Russian involvement would help ensure feasibility and technical compatibility, including rail gauge standards and regulatory coordination within the EAEU framework.

Galuzin also addressed the presence of Russian border guards in Armenia, stating that their deployment continues under a 1992 agreement covering the Armenian-Turkish and Armenian-Iranian borders, and that Moscow has received no indication of changes to this arrangement. He added that there have been no signals from Yerevan regarding a possible review of the agreement governing the Russian military base in Gyumri, which remains in force until 2044. According to Galuzin, Armenian officials have indicated that closure of the base is not under consideration, and he described it as an important factor in regional security, while rejecting characterizations of the Russian presence as an "instrument of occupation."

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