In a report "Nagorno-Karabakh: in search of a route to peace in the shadow of the Ukrainian war" the ICG writes that worries of a renewal of the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh arose in the context of Russia's war in Ukraine and hostilities in Karabakh in 2022.

The Crisis Group advocated that Baku and Yerevan establish a framework to resolve pressing concerns, such as Nagorno-Karabakh residents' access to water, through frequent talks. "Appointing representatives from the parties to meet in emergency scenarios might assist to alleviate the escalating tension."

Experts propose that Baku eliminate the obstacles to dialogue with the Armenians. The CG is sceptical that all Armenians imprisoned by the Azerbaijani Armed Forces landed on Azerbaijani soil after the ceasefire agreement went into effect, and thus are not subject to it.

"Given the history of violence between Armenians and Azerbaijanis in the region, the version offered by official Baku that Armenians as citizens of Azerbaijan will have access to the same possibilities as Azerbaijanis is insufficient," the Crisis Group writes.