Opinion from Azerbaijan regarding Kazakhstan protests
Generally, it can be said that the Azerbaijani public and elite opinion regarding Russia’s intervention in Kazakhstan protest is negative. The Azerbaijani President has still not commented on the events in Kazakhstan. On January 10, Azerbaijan's Foreign Ministry expressed condolences to the Kazakh people, but no support for the government's actions.
The leader of the opposition, the Popular Front Party of Azerbaijan, Ali Karimli said:
"This is the collapse of the regime in Kazakhstan. Kazakh President Kasym Jomart Tokayev has appealed to the member states of the Collective Security Treaty Organization - in fact, the Russian president - for military assistance. This appeal is a failure of the Kazakh government. Russia's deployment of troops in Kazakhstan will lead to a major war in Afghanistan. The Kazakh people will not reconcile with this occupation. Tokayev's anti-national stance will provoke the Kazakh people to join the protests en masse."
Azerbaijani lawyer and social media activist Aslan Ismayilov flagged:
“I do not believe that the events in Kazakhstan will end soon. By inviting CSTO troops, Tokayev fulfilled Putin's long-held dream. Apparently, they will not leave even if Russian troops are asked to leave. This time, the Donbas events will take place under the pretext that people's lives are endangered in the areas where Russians live compactly, and Kazakhstan will be divided.”
Commenting on the situation, political commentator Shahin Caferli wrote on his Facebook page that it is difficult to make unequivocal assumptions about the reasons for the rapid growth of events in Kazakhstan.
He added that Russia does not organise revolutions anywhere, does not have such a model, does not like the overthrow of regimes through popular movements, especially in the post-Soviet space, and considers such processes a serious threat to its interests.
"Although Russia did not organise these events, the example of Kazakhstan after Belarus also showed that it can turn the situation in its favour. This is not an unusual, [it is a] fantastic skill, people… know the geography they have ruled for centuries, every rock, tree, and bush there. They know us better than we do. Nazarbayev, a Russian man, was old and ill, and it was necessary to replace him with another Russian man without giving him any surprises.”
Vahid Ahmadov, a non-partisan deputy known for his closeness to the government, said: "I do not consider it right for Kazakh leader Tokayev to invite the CSTO to the country in the name of peacekeepers. Since this is an internal matter of the state, he had to meet with the forces and solve the problem himself. Inviting foreign forces to Kazakhstan is not a well-accepted factor. Kazakhstan is also a member of the Organization of Turkic States. He could apply there as well. Now the main question is why Tokayev appealed to the CSTO and not to the Organization of Turkish States? Why did he use weapons against his own people? These are questionable issues. This is his own people, for some reason he is dissatisfied and holds a rally. He had to be put to bed and negotiated. It is questionable how the events will end. But in general, the unrest in Kazakhstan is not desirable for the countries of Central Asia and the Caucasus. It is difficult to say who is behind the current unrest. Certain analyses are carried out and monitored. It is possible that a geopolitical issue is behind these events."
The deputy of the ruling YAP party Jeyhun Mammadov stated:
“Every Azerbaijani citizen is concerned about the events in friendly and brotherly Kazakhstan. In recent days, government buildings have been destroyed and state property has been severely damaged. All these are issues that seriously affect the country's economy and stability in the country. In fact, Kazakhstan has taken important steps in recent years to strengthen its independence and statehood. Kazakhstan was one of the former CIS countries that has achieved significant success in a number of areas. Analysis of the processes shows that external factors also play a role in the events. It is known that a number of countries have interests in different countries. In some cases, certain means of pressure are used to pursue these interests. The country's leadership is already taking serious steps to ensure stability and public order. The situation is expected to stabilise in the next few days. In recent years, unrest and clashes in a number of Muslim countries have been marked only by instability and economic decline. Many countries in the region must draw conclusions from the events in Kazakhstan. This shows that from time to time individual states with interests in the region try to destabilise and create tension in other states. They use different methods for this purpose. In this regard, everyone should work to prevent such cases. Everyone must do their part to prevent such a situation in any country. We wish a full restoration of stability and stability in friendly and brotherly Kazakhstan soon."